ACUS11 KWNS 160134
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 160133=20
OKZ000-TXZ000-160300-

Mesoscale Discussion 0731
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0833 PM CDT Fri May 15 2026

Areas affected...portions of western Oklahoma into northwestern
Texas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 204...206...

Valid 160133Z - 160300Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 204, 206
continues.

SUMMARY...A few more severe gusts may occur with ongoing storms
before nocturnal cooling weakens thunderstorms.

DISCUSSION...A broken line of storms persists across western and
central OK into northwestern TX. Despite the onset of nocturnal
cooling, a few severe gusts have been reported in the past hour over northwestern TX. Given a residual mixed boundary layer and over 1000
J/kg DCAPE, along with 9+ C/km mid-level lapse rates (per 00Z OUN
observed sounding) evaporative cooling potential with the stronger
storm cores may foster severe gust potential for at least a couple
more hours. Some of the latest runs of the WoFS depict severe gusts
continuing into central OK over the next few hours.

..Squitieri.. 05/16/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!7b5bONdV-VruD-donqVtukFpIEZEN_v8Pl2feoDc7w1oapNpzYk3is5MVLUrZRw6b6u-twVjl= N0nIweMZDa79ygkieY$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TSA...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...MAF...

LAT...LON 32800092 34259983 35309893 35729824 36059752 36029683
35709661 34769776 33779845 33159912 32699965 32570007
32560042 32800092=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH


=3D =3D =3D
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