ACUS11 KWNS 132352
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 132351=20
TXZ000-140145-

Mesoscale Discussion 0717
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0651 PM CDT Wed May 13 2026

Areas affected...northern Texas Panhandle

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 132351Z - 140145Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Conditional threat for severe wind and large hail this
evening.

DISCUSSION...Cumulus continues to deepen across portions the
northern Texas Panhandle near Amarillo, with a few attempts noted
further south east of I-27 near Cap Rock. This is occurring along a
boundary of increasing moisture moving northward from western
Oklahoma into the TX/OK Panhandles. Overall, forcing for ascent is
weak aside from the this weak boundary leading to low confidence in thunderstorm development. Given a storm, the very warm and well
mixed boundary layer and steep low to mid-level lapse rates would be
conducive to instances of large hail and severe gusts. This threat
remains too conditional and isolated for watch issuance but trends
will be monitored.

..Thornton/Smith.. 05/13/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!-n3uQgGc94UyIbtlD5q1G9ZpELHdKsJQoCZhM2R5bsgrx9MY5axksz15s5ehQIKesqP8StfJq= K1SObi7fBXZhXNbLOc$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LUB...AMA...

LAT...LON 36220170 36070189 35730214 35240219 34940211 34780190
34670161 34640087 34710051 34890015 35360005 35680012
35880019 36120037 36240075 36320117 36220170=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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