ACUS11 KWNS 110251
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 110251=20
TXZ000-110515-

Mesoscale Discussion 0701
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0951 PM CDT Sun May 10 2026

Areas affected...south-central Texas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 197...

Valid 110251Z - 110515Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 197
continues.

SUMMARY...A few severe wind gusts remain possible as activity
spreads south/southeast. Isolated large hail may occur toward the
lower Rio Grande Valley.

DISCUSSION...Storms continue to propagate southeastward across
central TX and toward the Rio Grande Valley as the aggregate
outflow/cold front pushes south. Surface observations have generally
shown gusts of 35 to 50 mph, and this is generally expected as
storms affect the I-35 corridor.=20

Toward the Rio Grande, sporadic upticks in intensity have been
noted, though the southern portion of this line/outflow has not yet consolidated into an MCS. This scenario remains possible over the
next several hours as the air mass remains very moist and unstable.
Depending on storm trends, a watch could be needed for parts of Deep
South TX for wind & hail potential.

..Jewell.. 05/11/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!6qRS14sEVXXLN0iMFf9K7e1XhG0nQAtTSV61UXb1PuPO3eF-GaSggXHIVIFtuZrzBr5n0BILW= GfWz3mJ5PwkkWs3tSs$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...HGX...FWD...CRP...EWX...

LAT...LON 28850059 29169989 29839947 29949885 30159839 30739785
31019723 30949700 30529667 29879670 29379715 28729808
27719990 28090009 28250029 28700052 28850059=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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