ACUS11 KWNS 092240
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 092239=20
PAZ000-NYZ000-OHZ000-092345-

Mesoscale Discussion 0689
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0539 PM CDT Sat May 09 2026

Areas affected...Northeast Ohio...northwest Pennsylvania...and far
southwest NY

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 195...

Valid 092239Z - 092345Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 195
continues.

SUMMARY...A locally favorable corridor for damaging wind gusts is
evident from northeast Ohio into northwest Pennsylvania for the next
2 hours or so.

DISCUSSION...A few deeper/stronger cores are evolving along the band
of storms moving from Lake Erie into northeast OH and northwest PA.
Within WW175, a locally favorable corridor for damaging winds gusts
is evident here, given 35-40 kt of line-oblique cloud-bearing shear
(per CLE VWP) and steepened pre-convective lapse rates. Damaging
gusts of 55-65 mph appear most likely in this corridor over the next
2 hours or so.

..Weinman.. 05/09/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5jxcZ9g6A273xMYnkM6CV9Y_4SH5YZ-Gp8zVvE9EPz3-5mMtjrc2A_PosyrRMc_A0E2O1_kF5= ZEmI3Asu4RlLqFugNA$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...BUF...CTP...PBZ...CLE...

LAT...LON 41538190 41848131 42288011 42277962 41887940 41567970
41268047 41048176 41258205 41538190=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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