ACUS11 KWNS 090621
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 090621=20
LAZ000-ARZ000-TXZ000-090815-

Mesoscale Discussion 0679
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0121 AM CDT Sat May 09 2026

Areas affected...Portions of East Texas into northern Louisiana

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 090621Z - 090815Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Occasional marginally severe storms are possible and could
produce isolated large hail and damaging winds. A watch is not
expected.

DISCUSSION...Convection continues across parts of East
Texas/northern Louisiana. This is being driven by the passing
trough. Lift from this feature should persist a few more hours
before sliding eastward. Steep mid-level lapse rates (7 C/km) were
sampled by the 00Z SHV sounding. This, coupled with modest effective
shear and mid/upper 60s F dewpoints, will foster storms that may
occasionally intensify to severe levels. Isolated large hail and
damaging winds would be possible. The overall threat is expected to
remain disorganized and sporadic.

..Wendt/Hart.. 05/09/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!6r9XspOECjEzG6zHsqNdGIuCm55OQ46oGrFoJQOlIRwRHNnIwob4RVB2t16i1bsnnUzYKE3qI= j-mpt9QAgqDGG7zLcM$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...JAN...SHV...

LAT...LON 32149481 32569488 32999398 33029248 32999201 32899165
32449148 31999160 31659330 31669423 31739460 32149481=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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