ACUS11 KWNS 090029
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 090029=20
TXZ000-OKZ000-090230-

Mesoscale Discussion 0675
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0729 PM CDT Fri May 08 2026

Areas affected...north-central Texas

Concerning...Severe potential...Severe Thunderstorm Watch likely=20

Valid 090029Z - 090230Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

SUMMARY...Thunderstorm activity will move southward across the Red
River into north-central Texas this evening. Additional thunderstorm development will be possible south of the Red River north of the DFW
Metro.

DISCUSSION...A broken line of thunderstorms continues to move south
and east across portions of central Oklahoma. This is tending to
cluster along outflow but embedded supercells are still producing
occasional hail up to 1.75-2.75 inches. Through time, this will
continue to evolve into a greater damaging wind threat as it moves
into north Texas this evening given trends in growth along outflow. Temperatures downstream are cooling, with temperatures in the mid to
upper 70s. The 00z sounding from FWD shows less favorable low levels
but does show a deep layer of instability aloft. Upper level flow
remains modest but downward momentum transport from heavier cores
may produce severe caliber winds. A watch will likely be needed
downstream of WW192 soon.

..Thornton/Guyer.. 05/09/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5N8zKY8esoHXpxI0ECxpZRPeMuJVHazDuy0JYRxNzVmoa6S7e1AlyJvGVtw_40aj4Z9_cylBh= wKrYzgcxmQNPGUNCWY$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...

LAT...LON 33949892 34399792 34599727 34639622 34449552 33839509
33029534 33019698 33029775 33009849 33249894 33949892=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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