ACUS11 KWNS 071204
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 071204=20
GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-071330-

Mesoscale Discussion 0665
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0704 AM CDT Thu May 07 2026

Areas affected...Parts of south AL...southwest GA...FL Panhandle

Concerning...Tornado Watch 189...190...

Valid 071204Z - 071330Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 189, 190 continues.

SUMMARY...Some threat for damaging wind and a tornado will persist
through the morning.

DISCUSSION...Scattered strong storms are ongoing as of 12 UTC across
south AL, southwest GA, and the northwest FL Panhandle. Despite rich
low-level moisture and a favorable kinematic environment, storms
have struggled to maintain severe intensity this morning, likely due
to weak low/midlevel lapse rates and a tendency for storms to
generally be oriented parallel to a southward-sagging outflow
boundary.=20

Early visible satellite imagery suggests some clearing and potential
for filtered heating across parts of the FL Panhandle into southwest
GA. Any substantial destabilization and steepening of low-level
lapse rates could yield an uptick in severe potential through the
morning, as storms generally move east-southeastward. While some
modest weakening and veering of low-level flow will be possible from
west to east, deep-layer flow/shear will remain more than sufficient
for organized convection, resulting in localized damaging-wind and
tornado potential with any supercells or small bowing segments.

..Dean.. 05/07/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!4-6pIdUBE56UQMrXx7oucKPt6mSWXhtrekhGItzJJtyL2hcCenUW9y9XHYRGrS5nSP1zmk1YT= 9jyFP6HuyrdPjJOlC4$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TAE...MOB...

LAT...LON 31108800 31258663 31618535 31728453 31688407 31658386
31608375 31458359 31198348 30718358 30558380 30428428
30338549 30318597 30378682 30368737 30388773 30428791
30838805 31108800=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-110 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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