ACUS11 KWNS 070921
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 070920=20
GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-071115-

Mesoscale Discussion 0664
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0420 AM CDT Thu May 07 2026

Areas affected...Southeast MS...south AL...southwest GA...FL
Panhandle

Concerning...Tornado Watch 189...190...

Valid 070920Z - 071115Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 189, 190 continues.

SUMMARY...Some threat for damaging wind and a tornado will continue
through dawn.

DISCUSSION...A small supercell has evolved across southeast MS, in
the vicinity of an outflow boundary associated with more widespread
convection across south AL. This cell may have the greatest
short-term opportunity to move within a somewhat more moist and
unstable environment. With strong deep-layer flow/shear still in
place, localized damaging wind and/or a tornado cannot be ruled out
with this cell, if it persists.=20

Otherwise, convection near and north of the outflow may tend to
remain somewhat disorganized in the short term, though if any
ongoing storms can mature and take on a more rightward motion like
the southeast MS cell, then some uptick in the damaging wind and
tornado threat could still occur through dawn.

..Dean.. 05/07/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5QarSnw1i6i91hmEZKTCrZQJhTYFpaN6xmVgrk4EVD5znSruuvaLTXxy0jWRYHQyCdZ1il_ma= qbzV7PpWXtRISdvJdw$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TAE...BMX...MOB...LIX...

LAT...LON 31218899 31748714 31898565 31918522 31858492 31638474
31298472 30988487 30888496 30698547 30708641 30778763
30718865 30858905 31218899=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-110 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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