ACUS11 KWNS 070305
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 070304=20
GAZ000-ALZ000-MSZ000-070400-

Mesoscale Discussion 0662
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1004 PM CDT Wed May 06 2026

Areas affected...southern Mississippi and southern Alabama

Concerning...Tornado Watch 186...187...

Valid 070304Z - 070400Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 186, 187 continues.

SUMMARY...The severe threat continues within portions of WW186 and
WW187. A replacement watch may be needed before 04z.

DISCUSSION...The thermodynamic environment continues to trend down
across portions of central MS/AL as the front sags southward.
Further south, more favorably warm and unstable air and strong deep
layer shear remains near the Gulf.=20

With continued steady increase in the LLJ expected across southern
MS/AL overnight, a corridor of continuing severe risk looks likely.
Given favorable low-level shear profiles, the tornado risk will
likely continue into the overnight across these areas. Risk for
instances of large hail will also continue. A replacement watch
probably will be needed before 04z.

..Thornton.. 05/07/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5Ti8rou1WOlzCCsi5KG53SDX8lnop7YGr8ZSkEu1MtQQpwLAy0NBG2XQzCArcw7UWNVRWDNDc= W7Hu4yhs2A3Oi413pQ$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...JAN...LIX...

LAT...LON 32648677 32458844 32099041 31889088 31789106 31669116
31549117 31389112 31199105 31109083 31079041 31348801
31478642 31748517 32118497 32568504 32758562 32648677=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...120-145 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


=3D =3D =3D
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