• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0658

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/107 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Thursday, May 07, 2026 00:16:37
    ACUS11 KWNS 070016
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 070016=20
    MSZ000-070115-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0658
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0716 PM CDT Wed May 06 2026

    Areas affected...southern Mississippi

    Concerning...Tornado Watch 186...

    Valid 070016Z - 070115Z

    The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 186 continues.

    SUMMARY...Supercell with a strong tornado to persist eastward across
    southern Mississippi south of US84 and will be approaching the I-55
    corridor soon.

    DISCUSSION...A supercell has strengthened rapidly and is currently
    producing a strong tornado (estimated wind 135-180 mph) near
    Meadville, MS. This storm is moving within a volatile environment of
    moderate to strong MLCAPE increasing low-level SRH (around 200-250
    m2/s2 from DGX to HDC). Effective STP is analyzed to the south
    around 2-3. It is likely that this storm will persist downstream to
    east with potential for continued strong to intense tornadoes.

    ..Thornton.. 05/07/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!-BzeEzB1D-AqDlMEWC65RYooXPVb_i2DY5Hl27gVGWpjQEoul6TG-KvjVaMwi9fxv_fL2aQYC= sXDa1YrrRxnY90rMII$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...

    LAT...LON 31479130 31719113 32039036 32158993 32148961 31918943
    31568942 31288992 31149087 31159098 31249129 31479130=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...140-170 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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