ACUS11 KWNS 061319
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 061319=20
TXZ000-061415-

Mesoscale Discussion 0652
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0819 AM CDT Wed May 06 2026

Areas affected...The Edwards Plateau

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible=20

Valid 061319Z - 061415Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

SUMMARY...A cluster of supercells will pose a large hail and wind
damage threat for the next couple of hours. A small severe
thunderstorm watch is possible.

DISCUSSION...Convection developed earlier this morning along a
surface front across the Edwards Plateau, and the storms have shown
supercell structures. The 12z DRT sounding revealed strong buoyancy immediately south-southwest of these storms, and the storms may
continue eastward along the immediate cool side of the front for the
next couple of hours before weakening by mid-late morning. In the
interim, the storms will remain capable of producing occasional
large hail (1-2 inches in diameter) and severe outflow gusts (60-70
mph). The need for a small severe thunderstorm watch is being
discussed with the central TX NWS offices.

..Thompson/Smith.. 05/06/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!_P1i5Xt7Uwu24f-jWN6sTex31IZrYzcKK6DOTCPzBnT3ydx93Dx4uD6AmSy6OqlEUiowPIBBB= NFDQDE7D8WlF16YLBA$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...

LAT...LON 30509786 30269829 30219926 30269976 30559988 30809965
30919912 30969853 31029816 30929793 30509786=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


=3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux
* Origin: Capitol City Online (1:2320/107)